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| [PMID]: | 23159474 |
| [Au] Autor: | Gupta PK; Ramanan B; Mactaggart JN; Sundaram A; Fang X; Gupta H; Johanning JM; Pipinos II |
| [Ad] Endereço: | Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin Hospital & Clinics, Madison, WI, USA. |
| [Ti] Título: | Risk index for predicting perioperative stroke, myocardial infarction, or death risk in asymptomatic patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy. |
| [So] Source: | J Vasc Surg;57(2):318-26, 2013 Feb. | | [Is] ISSN: | 1097-6809 |
| [Cp] País de publicação: | United States |
| [La] Idioma: | eng |
| [Ab] Resumo: | OBJECTIVE: The latest guidelines recommend performance of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) on asymptomatic patients with high-grade carotid stenosis, only if the combined perioperative stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), or death risk is ≤3%. Our objective was to develop and validate a risk index to estimate the combined risk of perioperative stroke, MI, or death in asymptomatic patients undergoing elective CEA. METHODS: Asymptomatic patients who underwent an elective CEA (n = 17,692) were identified from the 2005-2010 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, a multicenter, prospective database. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed with primary outcome of interest being the composite of any stroke, MI, or death during the 30-day periprocedural period. Bootstrapping was used for internal validation. A risk index was created by assigning weighted points to each predictor using the ß-coefficients from the regression analysis. RESULTS: Fifty-eight percent of the patients were men with a median age of 72 years. Thirty-day incidences of stroke, MI, and death were 0.9% (n = 167), 0.6% (n = 108), and 0.4% (n = 72), respectively. The combined 30-day stroke, MI, or death incidence was 1.8% (n = 324). On multivariable analysis, six independent predictors were identified and a risk index created by assigning weighted points to each predictor using the ß-coefficients from the regression analysis. The predictors included age in years (<60: 0 point; 60-69: -1 point; 70-79: -1 point; ≥80: 2 points), dyspnea (2 points), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (3 points), previous peripheral revascularization or amputation (3 points), recent angina within 1 month (4 points), and dependent functional status (5 points). Patients were classified as low (<3%), intermediate (3%-6%), or high (>6%) risk for combined 30-day stroke, MI, or death, based on a total point score of <4, 4-7, and >7, respectively. There were 15,249 patients (86.2%) in the low-risk category, 2233 (12.6%) in the intermediate-risk category, and 210 (1.2%) in the high-risk category. CONCLUSIONS: The validated risk index can help identify asymptomatic patients who are at greatest risk for 30-day stroke, MI, and death after CEA, thereby aiding patient selection. |
| [Mh] Termos MeSH primário: |
Estenose das Carótidas/cirurgia Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão Endarterectomia das Carótidas/efeitos adversos Endarterectomia das Carótidas/mortalidade Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade
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| [Mh] Termos MeSH secundário: |
Idoso Doenças Assintomáticas Estenose das Carótidas/complicações Estenose das Carótidas/diagnóstico Estenose das Carótidas/mortalidade Feminino Mortalidade Hospitalar Humanos Incidência Modelos Logísticos Masculino Meia-Idade Análise Multivariada Razão de Chances Seleção de Pacientes Período Perioperatório Valor Preditivo dos Testes Sistema de Registros Reprodutibilidade dos Testes Estudos Retrospectivos Medição de Risco Fatores de Risco Índice de Gravidade de Doença Fatores de Tempo Resultado de Tratamento Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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| [Pt] Tipo de publicação: | JOURNAL ARTICLE; MULTICENTER STUDY; RESEARCH SUPPORT, N.I.H., EXTRAMURAL; VALIDATION STUDIES |
| [Em] Mês de entrada: | 1303 |
| [Cu] Atualização por classe: | 130513 |
[Lr] Data última revisão:
| 130513 |
| [Sb] Subgrupo de revista: | IM |
| [Da] Data de entrada para processamento: | 130122 |
| [St] Status: | MEDLINE |
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